Explaining Politics, Not Polls: Reexamining Macropartisanship with Recalibrated NES Data

Explaining Politics, Not Polls Reexamining Macropartisanship with Recalibrated Nes Data

Like all surveys, the American National Election Studies (NES) imperfectly reflects population characteristics. There are wellknown differences between actual and NES-reported turnout rates and between actual and NES-reported presidential vote divisions. This research seeks to determine whether the aggregate misrepresentation of turnout and vote choice affects the aggregate measurement of party...

Data Troubles: Explaining Discrepancies between Official Votes and Exit Polls in the 2004 Presidential Election

Reexamining the Arguments and Data

DESPITE SUBSTANTIAL IMPROVEments in treatments for individual cancers, 50% of people diagnosed as having cancer, more than 550000 annually in the United States, still die of it. Therefore, research into finding novel therapies for most cancers remains an important national priority. The process of translating basic research into clinical applications that could potentially lead to larger clinic...

Long-term data resilience using opinion polls

Opinion Polls can be used as a means to reach weak agreement, an idea introduced by the LOCKSS system [1]. In this paper, we investigate a set of protocols that achieve data resilience for the long-term using a peer-to-peer network, where mutually untrusted peers are loosely organized. Peers use Opinion Polls to heal corrupted copies of data items instead of conventional methods that use consen...

Reexamining Some Holy Grails of Data Provenance

We reconsider some of the explicit and implicit properties that underlie well-established definitions of data provenance semantics. Previous work on comparing provenance semantics has mostly focused on expressive power (does the provenance generated by a certain semantics subsume the provenance generated by other semantics) and on understanding whether a semantics is insensitive to query rewrit...